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"realized_pnl_usd": 19.44642876, "requested_amount_usd": 24.75, "resolved_at": "2026-10-02T17:15:00+00:00", "resolved_outcome": "DOWN", "rounded_amount_usd": 24.75, "rounding_price": 0.75, "side": "BUY", "source_kronos_row_id": 311421, "stake_usd": null, "status": "MATCHED", "target_shares": 33, "updated_at": "2026-10-02T17:10:56.944Z" }, { "admission_tier": "max", "admission_tier_position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.15, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.05 }, "admission_tier_priority": 2, "average_fill_price": 0.58, "btc_candle_end": 85965.8, "btc_candle_move_pct": 0.0010503565622830826, "btc_candle_start": 85875.6, "candle_open_time": "2026-10-02T07:05:00+00:00", "checkpoint_seconds": 130, "closed_at": "2026-10-02T07:10:00+00:00", "created_at": "2026-10-02T07:07:20.499Z", "decision_id": 1026, "error_message": null, "external_order_id": "0xb88c5601185a7c22d4895fc9f60b0cc3d9a39f7755b7aa55fe8bcc965f7a3225", "filled_shares": 42.672414, "id": 121, "market_slug": 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"admission_tier_priority": 1, "average_fill_price": 0.72, "btc_candle_end": 84509.9, "btc_candle_move_pct": 0.00035274579457160156, "btc_candle_start": 84480.1, "candle_open_time": "2026-09-27T07:00:00+00:00", "checkpoint_seconds": 10, "closed_at": "2026-09-27T07:05:53+00:00", "created_at": "2026-09-27T07:00:23.569Z", "decision_id": 1012, "error_message": null, "external_order_id": "0xa732e3b7f4cb618e0e6d7f64ecd824f35f8c1cb13e0f82b1560c611e8b6194a8", "filled_shares": 34.375, "id": 119, "market_slug": "btc-updown-5m-1790492400", "max_price": 0.75, "observed_preview_price": 0.73, "observed_spread": 0.01, "opened_at": "2026-09-27T07:00:35.645Z", "outcome": "DOWN", "position_avg_price": 0.72, "position_id": 72, "position_size": 34.375, "price": null, "realized_pnl_usd": -24.75, "requested_amount_usd": 24.75, "resolved_at": "2026-09-27T07:05:53+00:00", "resolved_outcome": "UP", "rounded_amount_usd": 24.75, "rounding_price": 0.75, "side": "BUY", "source_kronos_row_id": 297363, "stake_usd": null, "status": "MATCHED", "target_shares": 33, "updated_at": "2026-09-27T07:00:35.645Z" }, { "admission_tier": "max", "admission_tier_position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.15, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.05 }, "admission_tier_priority": 2, "average_fill_price": 0.7, "btc_candle_end": 81281.5, "btc_candle_move_pct": 1.968506358897859e-05, "btc_candle_start": 81279.9, "candle_open_time": "2026-09-19T09:35:00+00:00", "checkpoint_seconds": 60, "closed_at": "2026-09-19T09:40:53+00:00", "created_at": "2026-09-19T09:36:10.859Z", "decision_id": 996, "error_message": null, "external_order_id": "0x507748155b2e1d2c4b332af499234e677d76995d440c10f2c5a92059ddf5c3e9", "filled_shares": 35.357143, "id": 118, "market_slug": "btc-updown-5m-1789810500", "max_price": 0.75, "observed_preview_price": 0.7, "observed_spread": 0.01, "opened_at": "2026-09-19T09:36:22.440Z", "outcome": "DOWN", "position_avg_price": 0.7, "position_id": 71, "position_size": 35.357143, "price": null, "realized_pnl_usd": -24.750000099999998, "requested_amount_usd": 24.75, "resolved_at": "2026-09-19T09:40:53+00:00", "resolved_outcome": "UP", "rounded_amount_usd": 24.75, "rounding_price": 0.75, "side": "BUY", "source_kronos_row_id": 277222, "stake_usd": null, "status": "MATCHED", "target_shares": 33, "updated_at": "2026-09-19T09:36:22.440Z" }, { "admission_tier": "premium", "admission_tier_position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.3, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.1 }, "admission_tier_priority": 1, "average_fill_price": 0.37, "btc_candle_end": 76381.2, "btc_candle_move_pct": 0.0009422180520591092, "btc_candle_start": 76309.3, "candle_open_time": "2026-09-15T15:30:00+00:00", "checkpoint_seconds": 30, "closed_at": "2026-09-15T15:35:54+00:00", "created_at": "2026-09-15T15:30:39.846Z", "decision_id": 992, "error_message": null, "external_order_id": "0xb800ae2c191749129b05c2cf39c7f40f1bd50003bb21e488048157275800b222", "filled_shares": 101.351352, "id": 117, "market_slug": 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"2026-09-13T10:40:52+00:00", "created_at": "2026-09-13T10:37:19.014Z", "decision_id": 988, "error_message": null, "external_order_id": "0xfa949ee8a03f5c624924276354820d1ab12576344d0334d5abd71727ff9ce41a", "filled_shares": 72.758077, "id": 116, "market_slug": "btc-updown-5m-1789295700", "max_price": 0.75, "observed_preview_price": 0.55, "observed_spread": 0.01, "opened_at": "2026-09-13T10:37:31.705Z", "outcome": "UP", "position_avg_price": 0.5154, "position_id": 69, "position_size": 72.758077, "price": null, "realized_pnl_usd": -37.499512885799994, "requested_amount_usd": 37.5, "resolved_at": "2026-09-13T10:40:52+00:00", "resolved_outcome": "DOWN", "rounded_amount_usd": 37.5, "rounding_price": 0.75, "side": "BUY", "source_kronos_row_id": 262994, "stake_usd": null, "status": "MATCHED", "target_shares": 50, "updated_at": "2026-09-13T10:37:31.705Z" }, { "admission_tier": "max", "admission_tier_position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.15, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.05 }, "admission_tier_priority": 2, "average_fill_price": 0.66, "btc_candle_end": 77243.9, "btc_candle_move_pct": 6.732376386444994e-05, "btc_candle_start": 77238.7, "candle_open_time": "2026-09-12T07:45:00+00:00", "checkpoint_seconds": 130, "closed_at": "2026-09-12T07:50:00+00:00", "created_at": "2026-09-12T07:47:21.624Z", "decision_id": 984, "error_message": null, "external_order_id": "0x2f29364d22d0de0d15442932727d7a455b71d057343a55d8265eb471f801e81c", "filled_shares": 56.818182, "id": 115, "market_slug": "btc-updown-5m-1789199100", "max_price": 0.75, "observed_preview_price": 0.65, "observed_spread": 0.01, "opened_at": "2026-09-12T07:47:39.508Z", "outcome": "DOWN", "position_avg_price": 0.66, "position_id": 68, "position_size": 56.818182, "price": null, "realized_pnl_usd": 19.318181879999997, "requested_amount_usd": 37.5, "resolved_at": "2026-09-12T07:50:00+00:00", "resolved_outcome": "DOWN", "rounded_amount_usd": 37.5, "rounding_price": 0.75, "side": "BUY", "source_kronos_row_id": 260475, "stake_usd": null, "status": "MATCHED", "target_shares": 50, "updated_at": "2026-09-12T07:47:39.508Z" }, { "admission_tier": "premium", "admission_tier_position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.3, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.1 }, "admission_tier_priority": 1, "average_fill_price": null, "btc_candle_end": 80884.1, "btc_candle_move_pct": -0.0024296660997445763, "btc_candle_start": 81081.1, "candle_open_time": "2026-09-04T10:05:00+00:00", "checkpoint_seconds": 60, "closed_at": null, "created_at": "2026-09-04T10:06:08.226Z", "decision_id": 964, "error_message": "Bullpen command failed with exit code 4: /home/ojserveradmin/.bullpen/bin/bullpen polymarket limit-buy btc-updown-5m-1788516300 DOWN --price 0.75 --shares 50 --expiration fak --yes --non-interactive --output json: {\n \"class\": \"order_no_...", "external_order_id": null, "filled_shares": null, "id": 114, "market_slug": "btc-updown-5m-1788516300", "max_price": 0.75, "observed_preview_price": 0.656337246322389, 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/home/ojserveradmin/.bullpen/bin/bullpen polymarket limit-buy btc-updown-5m-1788516300 DOWN --price 0.75 --shares 50 --expiration fak --yes --non-interactive --output json: {\n \"class\": \"order_no_...", "external_order_id": null, "filled_shares": null, "id": 113, "market_slug": "btc-updown-5m-1788516300", "max_price": 0.75, "observed_preview_price": 0.58, "observed_spread": 0.01, "opened_at": null, "outcome": "DOWN", "position_avg_price": null, "position_id": null, "position_size": null, "price": null, "realized_pnl_usd": null, "requested_amount_usd": 37.5, "resolved_at": null, "resolved_outcome": null, "rounded_amount_usd": 37.5, "rounding_price": 0.75, "side": "BUY", "source_kronos_row_id": 242455, "stake_usd": null, "status": "FAILED", "target_shares": 50, "updated_at": "2026-09-04T10:05:32.678Z" }, { "admission_tier": "max", "admission_tier_position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.15, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.05 }, "admission_tier_priority": 2, "average_fill_price": 0.42, "btc_candle_end": 81049.9, "btc_candle_move_pct": 0.0006123434110736784, "btc_candle_start": 81000.3, "candle_open_time": "2026-09-04T09:30:00+00:00", "checkpoint_seconds": 110, "closed_at": "2026-09-04T09:35:52+00:00", "created_at": "2026-09-04T09:32:01.991Z", "decision_id": 961, "error_message": null, "external_order_id": "0x0c5191f7d18ca4f2945e139bcf0b0705d13372ae7509b17c0c2109746289af5d", "filled_shares": 89.285713, "id": 112, "market_slug": "btc-updown-5m-1788514200", "max_price": 0.75, "observed_preview_price": 0.58, "observed_spread": 0.01, "opened_at": "2026-09-04T09:32:15.436Z", "outcome": "DOWN", "position_avg_price": 0.42, "position_id": 67, "position_size": 89.285713, "price": null, "realized_pnl_usd": -37.49999946, "requested_amount_usd": 37.5, "resolved_at": "2026-09-04T09:35:52+00:00", "resolved_outcome": "UP", "rounded_amount_usd": 37.5, "rounding_price": 0.75, "side": "BUY", "source_kronos_row_id": 242395, "stake_usd": null, "status": "MATCHED", "target_shares": 50, "updated_at": "2026-09-04T09:32:15.436Z" }, { "admission_tier": "premium", "admission_tier_position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.3, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.1 }, "admission_tier_priority": 1, "average_fill_price": null, "btc_candle_end": 76959.8, "btc_candle_move_pct": -0.0016228859348587244, "btc_candle_start": 77084.9, "candle_open_time": "2026-09-02T15:20:00+00:00", "checkpoint_seconds": 30, "closed_at": null, "created_at": "2026-09-02T15:20:39.899Z", "decision_id": 951, "error_message": "Bullpen command failed with exit code 4: /home/ojserveradmin/.bullpen/bin/bullpen polymarket limit-buy btc-updown-5m-1788362400 DOWN --price 0.75 --shares 50 --expiration fak --yes --non-interactive --output json: {\n \"class\": \"order_no_...", "external_order_id": null, "filled_shares": null, "id": 111, "market_slug": "btc-updown-5m-1788362400", "max_price": 0.75, "observed_preview_price": 0.68, "observed_spread": 0.01, "opened_at": null, "outcome": "DOWN", "position_avg_price": null, "position_id": null, "position_size": null, "price": null, "realized_pnl_usd": null, "requested_amount_usd": 37.5, "resolved_at": null, "resolved_outcome": null, "rounded_amount_usd": 37.5, "rounding_price": 0.75, "side": "BUY", "source_kronos_row_id": 237850, "stake_usd": null, "status": "FAILED", "target_shares": 50, "updated_at": "2026-09-02T15:20:52.839Z" }, { "admission_tier": "premium", "admission_tier_position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.3, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.1 }, "admission_tier_priority": 1, "average_fill_price": 0.5634, "btc_candle_end": 79232.6, "btc_candle_move_pct": -0.0011157182641188788, "btc_candle_start": 79321.1, "candle_open_time": "2026-08-27T12:40:00+00:00", "checkpoint_seconds": 10, "closed_at": "2026-08-27T12:45:00+00:00", "created_at": "2026-08-27T12:40:23.251Z", "decision_id": 936, "error_message": null, "external_order_id": "0xe1eecdf405ad85a1cd523ca91f7616863ebd86006fe74d51eae9e84788cc8d34", "filled_shares": 66.565262, "id": 110, "market_slug": "btc-updown-5m-1787834400", "max_price": 0.75, "observed_preview_price": 0.57, "observed_spread": 0.01, "opened_at": "2026-08-27T12:40:39.031Z", "outcome": "DOWN", "position_avg_price": 0.5634, "position_id": 66, "position_size": 66.565262, "price": null, "realized_pnl_usd": 29.062393389200004, "requested_amount_usd": 37.5, "resolved_at": "2026-08-27T12:45:00+00:00", "resolved_outcome": "DOWN", "rounded_amount_usd": 37.5, "rounding_price": 0.75, "side": "BUY", "source_kronos_row_id": 222023, "stake_usd": null, "status": "MATCHED", "target_shares": 50, "updated_at": "2026-08-27T12:40:39.031Z" }, { "admission_tier": "premium", "admission_tier_position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.3, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.1 }, "admission_tier_priority": 1, "average_fill_price": 0.68, "btc_candle_end": 79580.0, "btc_candle_move_pct": -0.000739588316764724, "btc_candle_start": 79638.9, "candle_open_time": "2026-08-27T10:30:00+00:00", "checkpoint_seconds": 60, "closed_at": "2026-08-27T10:35:00+00:00", "created_at": "2026-08-27T10:31:11.512Z", "decision_id": 930, "error_message": null, "external_order_id": "0x2343159cc0d6e929a4a9e5eaf9a327e98471f119f18ccd8fe666d6f6b8f3a29c", "filled_shares": 55.147056, "id": 109, "market_slug": "btc-updown-5m-1787826600", "max_price": 0.75, "observed_preview_price": 0.6589380115713509, "observed_spread": 0.05, "opened_at": "2026-08-27T10:31:22.795Z", "outcome": "DOWN", "position_avg_price": 0.68, "position_id": 65, "position_size": 55.147056, "price": null, "realized_pnl_usd": 17.647057919999995, "requested_amount_usd": 37.5, "resolved_at": "2026-08-27T10:35:00+00:00", "resolved_outcome": "DOWN", "rounded_amount_usd": 37.5, "rounding_price": 0.75, "side": "BUY", "source_kronos_row_id": 221791, "stake_usd": null, "status": "MATCHED", "target_shares": 50, "updated_at": "2026-08-27T10:31:22.794Z" }, { "admission_tier": "premium", "admission_tier_position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.3, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.1 }, "admission_tier_priority": 1, "average_fill_price": null, "btc_candle_end": 79580.0, "btc_candle_move_pct": -0.000739588316764724, "btc_candle_start": 79638.9, "candle_open_time": "2026-08-27T10:30:00+00:00", "checkpoint_seconds": 10, "closed_at": null, "created_at": "2026-08-27T10:30:22.959Z", "decision_id": 928, "error_message": "Bullpen command failed with exit code 4: /home/ojserveradmin/.bullpen/bin/bullpen polymarket limit-buy btc-updown-5m-1787826600 DOWN --price 0.75 --shares 50 --expiration fak --yes --non-interactive --output json: {\n \"class\": \"order_no_...", "external_order_id": null, "filled_shares": null, "id": 108, "market_slug": "btc-updown-5m-1787826600", "max_price": 0.75, "observed_preview_price": 0.68, "observed_spread": 0.01, "opened_at": null, "outcome": "DOWN", "position_avg_price": null, "position_id": null, "position_size": null, "price": null, "realized_pnl_usd": null, "requested_amount_usd": 37.5, "resolved_at": null, "resolved_outcome": null, "rounded_amount_usd": 37.5, "rounding_price": 0.75, "side": "BUY", "source_kronos_row_id": 221789, "stake_usd": null, "status": "FAILED", "target_shares": 50, "updated_at": "2026-08-27T10:30:35.392Z" }, { "admission_tier": "premium", "admission_tier_position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.3, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.1 }, "admission_tier_priority": 1, "average_fill_price": null, "btc_candle_end": 78196.3, "btc_candle_move_pct": -0.00214128663507911, "btc_candle_start": 78364.1, "candle_open_time": "2026-08-26T12:35:00+00:00", "checkpoint_seconds": 110, "closed_at": null, "created_at": "2026-08-26T12:36:59.497Z", "decision_id": 922, "error_message": "Bullpen command failed with exit code 4: /home/ojserveradmin/.bullpen/bin/bullpen polymarket limit-buy btc-updown-5m-1787747700 DOWN --price 0.75 --shares 50 --expiration fak --yes --non-interactive --output json: {\n \"class\": \"order_no_...", "external_order_id": null, "filled_shares": null, "id": 107, "market_slug": "btc-updown-5m-1787747700", "max_price": 0.75, "observed_preview_price": 0.7164179104477613, "observed_spread": 0.01, "opened_at": null, "outcome": "DOWN", "position_avg_price": null, "position_id": null, "position_size": null, "price": null, "realized_pnl_usd": null, "requested_amount_usd": 37.5, "resolved_at": null, "resolved_outcome": null, "rounded_amount_usd": 37.5, "rounding_price": 0.75, "side": "BUY", "source_kronos_row_id": 219425, "stake_usd": null, "status": "FAILED", "target_shares": 50, "updated_at": "2026-08-26T12:37:18.369Z" }, { "admission_tier": "premium", "admission_tier_position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.3, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.1 }, "admission_tier_priority": 1, "average_fill_price": 0.41, "btc_candle_end": 78340.3, "btc_candle_move_pct": 0.0010260669562995517, "btc_candle_start": 78260.0, "candle_open_time": "2026-08-24T13:50:00+00:00", "checkpoint_seconds": 30, "closed_at": "2026-08-24T13:55:00+00:00", "created_at": "2026-08-24T13:50:41.712Z", "decision_id": 911, "error_message": null, "external_order_id": "0x33b89fcd376007c39c65d8c4a536bb5c1a6591c330f6c931de8a0b1e682f1b50", "filled_shares": 91.463413, "id": 106, "market_slug": "btc-updown-5m-1787579400", "max_price": 0.75, "observed_preview_price": 0.6, "observed_spread": 0.01, "opened_at": "2026-08-24T13:50:55.715Z", "outcome": "DOWN", "position_avg_price": 0.41, "position_id": 64, "position_size": 91.463413, "price": null, "realized_pnl_usd": 53.96341367, "requested_amount_usd": 37.5, "resolved_at": "2026-08-24T13:55:00+00:00", "resolved_outcome": "DOWN", "rounded_amount_usd": 37.5, "rounding_price": 0.75, "side": "BUY", "source_kronos_row_id": 214374, "stake_usd": null, "status": "MATCHED", "target_shares": 50, "updated_at": "2026-08-24T13:50:55.715Z" }, { "admission_tier": "max", "admission_tier_position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.15, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.05 }, "admission_tier_priority": 2, "average_fill_price": 0.63, "btc_candle_end": 77187.7, "btc_candle_move_pct": -0.0003224862263414097, "btc_candle_start": 77212.6, "candle_open_time": "2026-08-22T09:25:00+00:00", "checkpoint_seconds": 10, "closed_at": "2026-08-22T09:30:00+00:00", "created_at": "2026-08-22T09:25:21.415Z", "decision_id": 903, "error_message": null, "external_order_id": "0x04864b6f4121cc69578df8336233a67275b55dd15d2789796812f64f5ead8f35", "filled_shares": 59.523808, "id": 105, "market_slug": "btc-updown-5m-1787390700", "max_price": 0.75, "observed_preview_price": 0.62, "observed_spread": 0.01, "opened_at": "2026-08-22T09:25:34.836Z", "outcome": "DOWN", "position_avg_price": 0.63, "position_id": 63, "position_size": 59.523808, "price": null, "realized_pnl_usd": 22.023808960000004, "requested_amount_usd": 37.5, "resolved_at": "2026-08-22T09:30:00+00:00", "resolved_outcome": "DOWN", "rounded_amount_usd": 37.5, "rounding_price": 0.75, "side": "BUY", "source_kronos_row_id": 208712, "stake_usd": null, "status": "MATCHED", "target_shares": 50, "updated_at": "2026-08-22T09:25:34.836Z" }, { "admission_tier": "max", "admission_tier_position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.15, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.05 }, "admission_tier_priority": 2, "average_fill_price": 0.72, "btc_candle_end": 64982.8, "btc_candle_move_pct": -6.155437097498727e-06, "btc_candle_start": 64983.2, "candle_open_time": "2026-08-19T13:55:00+00:00", "checkpoint_seconds": 130, "closed_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00+00:00", "created_at": "2026-08-19T13:57:18.977Z", "decision_id": 898, "error_message": null, "external_order_id": "0x740aa70682db0b70db0d3ffc8590b54dcec2f26c0a0e3e83f2bc6c614f3d6859", "filled_shares": 52.083332, "id": 104, "market_slug": "btc-updown-5m-1787147700", "max_price": 0.75, "observed_preview_price": 0.61, "observed_spread": 0.01, "opened_at": "2026-08-19T13:57:33.053Z", "outcome": "UP", "position_avg_price": 0.72, "position_id": 62, "position_size": 52.083332, "price": null, "realized_pnl_usd": 14.58333296, "requested_amount_usd": 37.5, "resolved_at": "2026-08-19T14:00:00+00:00", "resolved_outcome": "UP", "rounded_amount_usd": 37.5, "rounding_price": 0.75, "side": "BUY", "source_kronos_row_id": 201427, "stake_usd": null, "status": "MATCHED", "target_shares": 50, "updated_at": "2026-08-19T13:57:33.053Z" }, { "admission_tier": "max", "admission_tier_position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.15, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.05 }, "admission_tier_priority": 2, "average_fill_price": null, "btc_candle_end": 63159.0, "btc_candle_move_pct": 0.00022963203446064187, "btc_candle_start": 63144.5, "candle_open_time": "2026-08-16T19:15:00+00:00", "checkpoint_seconds": 110, "closed_at": null, "created_at": "2026-08-16T19:16:58.625Z", "decision_id": 890, "error_message": "Bullpen command failed with exit code 3: /home/ojserveradmin/.bullpen/bin/bullpen polymarket limit-buy btc-updown-5m-1786907700 UP --price 0.75 --shares 50 --expiration fak --yes --non-interactive --output json: {\n \"error\": \"Insufficien...", "external_order_id": null, "filled_shares": null, "id": 103, "market_slug": "btc-updown-5m-1786907700", "max_price": 0.75, "observed_preview_price": 0.7228772495015778, "observed_spread": 0.01, "opened_at": null, "outcome": "UP", "position_avg_price": null, "position_id": null, "position_size": null, "price": null, "realized_pnl_usd": null, "requested_amount_usd": 37.5, "resolved_at": null, "resolved_outcome": null, "rounded_amount_usd": 37.5, "rounding_price": 0.75, "side": "BUY", "source_kronos_row_id": 194225, "stake_usd": null, "status": "FAILED", "target_shares": 50, "updated_at": "2026-08-16T19:17:07.884Z" }, { "admission_tier": "premium", "admission_tier_position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.3, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.1 }, "admission_tier_priority": 1, "average_fill_price": null, "btc_candle_end": 63115.0, "btc_candle_move_pct": 0.0001014124857785065, "btc_candle_start": 63108.6, "candle_open_time": "2026-08-15T22:20:00+00:00", "checkpoint_seconds": 110, "closed_at": null, "created_at": "2026-08-15T22:21:59.879Z", "decision_id": 883, "error_message": "Bullpen command failed with exit code 3: /home/ojserveradmin/.bullpen/bin/bullpen polymarket limit-buy btc-updown-5m-1786832400 DOWN --price 0.75 --shares 50 --expiration fak --yes --non-interactive --output json: {\n \"error\": \"Insuffici...", "external_order_id": null, "filled_shares": null, "id": 102, "market_slug": "btc-updown-5m-1786832400", "max_price": 0.75, "observed_preview_price": 0.672158154859967, "observed_spread": 0.01, "opened_at": null, "outcome": "DOWN", "position_avg_price": null, "position_id": null, "position_size": null, "price": null, "realized_pnl_usd": null, "requested_amount_usd": 37.5, "resolved_at": null, "resolved_outcome": null, "rounded_amount_usd": 37.5, "rounding_price": 0.75, "side": "BUY", "source_kronos_row_id": 192321, "stake_usd": null, "status": "FAILED", "target_shares": 50, "updated_at": "2026-08-15T22:22:12.039Z" }, { "admission_tier": "max", "admission_tier_position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.15, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.05 }, "admission_tier_priority": 2, "average_fill_price": 0.71, "btc_candle_end": 63089.1, "btc_candle_move_pct": -9.034024990972893e-05, "btc_candle_start": 63094.8, "candle_open_time": "2026-08-15T05:25:00+00:00", "checkpoint_seconds": 10, "closed_at": "2026-08-15T05:30:00+00:00", "created_at": "2026-08-15T05:25:18.930Z", "decision_id": 878, "error_message": null, "external_order_id": "0xa7c6a7ddd6e09625c834f9b0af6a656d77b06a613d5f43a1c0ce8dae98b9df17", "filled_shares": 52.8169, "id": 101, "market_slug": "btc-updown-5m-1786771500", "max_price": 0.75, "observed_preview_price": 0.7, "observed_spread": 0.01, "opened_at": "2026-08-15T05:25:30.323Z", "outcome": "DOWN", "position_avg_price": 0.71, "position_id": 61, "position_size": 52.8169, "price": null, "realized_pnl_usd": 15.316901000000001, "requested_amount_usd": 37.5, "resolved_at": "2026-08-15T05:30:00+00:00", "resolved_outcome": "DOWN", "rounded_amount_usd": 37.5, "rounding_price": 0.75, "side": "BUY", "source_kronos_row_id": 190491, "stake_usd": null, "status": "MATCHED", "target_shares": 50, "updated_at": "2026-08-15T05:25:30.323Z" }, { "admission_tier": "premium", "admission_tier_position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.3, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.1 }, "admission_tier_priority": 1, "average_fill_price": 0.54, "btc_candle_end": 64772.3, "btc_candle_move_pct": 0.00021309943868376985, "btc_candle_start": 64758.5, "candle_open_time": "2026-08-09T04:05:00+00:00", "checkpoint_seconds": 30, "closed_at": "2026-08-09T04:10:00+00:00", "created_at": "2026-08-09T04:05:37.560Z", "decision_id": 847, "error_message": null, "external_order_id": "0xd8530b2982a52d56a34c07b8dbef8c48d54e30c3ee7e489734a70c086c4b98c9", "filled_shares": 69.444443, "id": 100, "market_slug": "btc-updown-5m-1786248300", "max_price": 0.75, "observed_preview_price": 0.5258886544392144, "observed_spread": 0.01, "opened_at": "2026-08-09T04:05:49.623Z", "outcome": "UP", "position_avg_price": 0.54, "position_id": 60, "position_size": 69.444443, "price": null, "realized_pnl_usd": 31.944443, "requested_amount_usd": 37.5, "resolved_at": "2026-08-09T04:10:00+00:00", "resolved_outcome": "UP", "rounded_amount_usd": 37.5, "rounding_price": 0.75, "side": "BUY", "source_kronos_row_id": 177208, "stake_usd": null, "status": "MATCHED", "target_shares": 50, "updated_at": "2026-08-09T04:05:49.623Z" }, { "admission_tier": "max", "admission_tier_position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.15, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.05 }, "admission_tier_priority": 2, "average_fill_price": 0.6201, "btc_candle_end": 63981.4, "btc_candle_move_pct": 0.00045033352826942004, "btc_candle_start": 63952.6, "candle_open_time": "2026-07-30T00:00:00+00:00", "checkpoint_seconds": 10, "closed_at": "2026-07-30T00:05:00+00:00", "created_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:21.042Z", "decision_id": 814, "error_message": null, "external_order_id": "0xffead823610716186677bce15719f7afaacd37dd67f1fa8034923c2d4d4c5739", "filled_shares": 60.47841, "id": 99, "market_slug": "btc-updown-5m-1785369600", "max_price": 0.75, "observed_preview_price": 0.6773981366642561, "observed_spread": 0.01, "opened_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:32.148Z", "outcome": "UP", "position_avg_price": 0.6201, "position_id": 59, "position_size": 60.47841, "price": null, "realized_pnl_usd": 22.975747959000003, "requested_amount_usd": 37.5, "resolved_at": "2026-07-30T00:05:00+00:00", "resolved_outcome": "UP", "rounded_amount_usd": 37.5, "rounding_price": 0.75, "side": "BUY", "source_kronos_row_id": 158012, "stake_usd": null, "status": "MATCHED", "target_shares": 50, "updated_at": "2026-07-30T00:00:32.147Z" }, { "admission_tier": "max", "admission_tier_position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.15, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.05 }, "admission_tier_priority": 2, "average_fill_price": null, "btc_candle_end": 63711.3, "btc_candle_move_pct": -0.00034048295231665053, "btc_candle_start": 63733.0, "candle_open_time": "2026-07-29T04:10:00+00:00", "checkpoint_seconds": 30, "closed_at": null, "created_at": "2026-07-29T04:10:38.584Z", "decision_id": 810, "error_message": "Bullpen command failed with exit code 4: /home/ojserveradmin/.bullpen/bin/bullpen polymarket limit-buy btc-updown-5m-1785298200 DOWN --price 0.75 --shares 100 --expiration fak --yes --non-interactive --output json: {\n \"class\": \"order_no...", "external_order_id": null, "filled_shares": null, "id": 98, "market_slug": "btc-updown-5m-1785298200", "max_price": 0.75, "observed_preview_price": 0.6542426645519429, "observed_spread": 0.01, "opened_at": null, "outcome": "DOWN", "position_avg_price": null, "position_id": null, "position_size": null, "price": null, "realized_pnl_usd": null, "requested_amount_usd": 75.0, 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2.0, "tier_stakes_usd": { "max": 25.0, "premium": 25.0 } }, "provider": "bullpen", "redeem_scope_acknowledgement": "I_UNDERSTAND_REDEEM_IS_WALLET_WIDE", "require_manual_arming": true, "shadow_only": false }, "mode": "live_real", "risk": { "kill_switch_path": "runtime/KILL_SWITCH_LIVE_REAL", "max_consecutive_losses": 4, "max_daily_loss_usd": 75.0, "max_open_exposure_usd": 52.0, "max_session_loss_usd": 75.0, "max_total_drawdown_usd": 75.0 }, "signals": { "admission_filter": { "adx_enabled": true, "adx_min": 30, "adx_min_by_checkpoint": {}, "atr_enabled": false, "atr_min": 0.2, "dynamic_filter_lookback_minutes": 30, "dynamic_filter_min_samples": 18, "dynamic_filter_missing_history": "block", "dynamic_forecast_range_enabled": true, "dynamic_forecast_range_top_percent": 10, "dynamic_predicted_move_enabled": true, "dynamic_predicted_move_top_percent": 10, "enabled": true, "forecast_range_enabled": false, "kronos_strength_enabled": true, "kronos_strength_min": 0.75, "mode": "dashboard_dynamic", "orderbook_filter_enabled": false, "predicted_move_enabled": false, "priority_profiles": [ { "adx_min": 32.5, "atr_enabled": false, "dynamic_forecast_range_top_percent": 5, "dynamic_predicted_move_top_percent": 5, "label": "015 Base VWAP ADX 32.5 RSI dyn 5/5", "name": "premium", "position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.3, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.1 }, "rsi_enabled": true, "rsi_max_for_up": 65, "rsi_min_for_down": 35, "variant_note": "006 variant \u2014 tighter 5/5", "vwap_enabled": true, "vwap_max_distance_pct": null, "vwap_min_distance_pct": 0.0 }, { "adx_min": 32.5, "atr_enabled": false, "dynamic_forecast_range_top_percent": 7.5, "dynamic_predicted_move_top_percent": 7.5, "kronos_strength_enabled": false, "kronos_strength_min": 0.0, "label": "022 Base VWAP ADX 32.5 RSI dyn 7.5/7.5 no strength", "name": "max", "position_sizing": { "max_fraction_at_min_price": 0.15, "min_fraction_at_max_entry": 0.05 }, "rsi_enabled": true, "rsi_max_for_up": 65, "rsi_min_for_down": 35, "variant_note": "017 variant \u2014 no Kronos strength", "vwap_enabled": true, "vwap_max_distance_pct": null, "vwap_min_distance_pct": 0.0 } ], "signal_enabled": false, "vwap_distance_band_pct": 0.0, "vwap_enabled": true, "vwap_max_distance_pct": null, "vwap_min_distance_pct": 0.0, "vwap_side_only": true, "vwap_window_minutes": 60 }, "runtime_lane": "live_real", "source": "kronos_filtered_live" }, "strategy": { "block_reversal_entries": true, "enabled_checkpoints": [ 10, 30, 60, 130, 150, 240 ], "entry_cutoff_seconds": 270, "entry_start_seconds": 1, "fixed_stake_usd": 3.0, "hold_to_resolution": true, "market_type": "btc_up_down_5m", "max_entries_per_market": 1, "max_entry_price": 0.75, "max_spread": 0.07, "min_seconds_to_close": 30, "notes": "ACTIVE Tier 3 sizing pause: Premium/Tier 3 signals remain admitted but are temporarily capped to Max/Tier 2 stake sizing while recent Tier 3 regime is weak; one position per market, max entry requires price+spread <= 75c, max spread 7c, no entry-price allowance, $2 whole-share sizing allowance bounded by the hard $25 final order cap, and $52 maximum open exposure. Tier 4/Super Sharp and Tier 1/Base are paused from live entries and remain analytics-only.", "take_profit_price": null } } }