Agent Ollie Poly Trading Systems

🟢 ARMED🟢 KILL OFFOpen 0Pending 0
Updated: 4 Oct 8:03pm Brisbanestatus json

Most Recent Prediction Result

Time4 Oct 7:35pm
CP PointCP10
Processed TierTier 3 · Premium
SideUP
Latency21.2s
Entry Price0.680
Order Size$24.75
Order Shares33
Profit / Loss$-24.75
Bybit Perp Start85227.60
Bybit Perp End85180.00
Bybit Perp Move-0.056%
Chainlink ResultDOWN
Chainlink Resolved4 Oct 7:35pm
Chainlink Source—
Fillfilled 36.40 shares

Venue fill reported: 36.397059

Most Recent Unfiltered Signal

Time4 Oct 8:00pm
Row313120
CPCP150
SideDOWN
Strength0.92
Statusadmission-blocked before live decision

Most Recent Filtered Signal

Time4 Oct 7:30pm
Row313066
CPCP150
SideUP
Strength0.80
Statusreversal blocked

price 0.300 · spread 0.040

Most Recent Filtered Passed Signals

Tier 2+3 since 31 May W/L240W / 100L · WR 70.6% · n=340
Tier 2+3 since 31 May total340
Tier 2+3 last 7d W/L11W / 5L · WR 68.8% · n=16
Tier 2+3 last 7d total16
After admission gates W/L62W / 29L · WR 68.1% · n=91
After admission gates total91
Admission gates last 7d W/L7W / 1L · WR 87.5% · n=8
Admission gates last 7d total8

Admission gates here only exclude floor price, ceiling price, max spread, reversal block, and blackout window.

TimeCPSideTierSignal W/L
(Bybit)		StrengthDecisionOrder / Chainlink ResultPlacement Reason
4 Oct 7:30pmCP150UPTier 3 · PremiumL0.80SKIPnot orderedreversal blocked: market bias DOWN (UP ask 0.300, DOWN ask 0.700); signal UP · UP ask 0.300 · spread 0.040 · ask+spread 0.340 <= max entry 0.750 · ask 0.300 < min floor 0.550 · spread 0.040 <= max spread 0.070
4 Oct 7:30pmCP10UPTier 3 · PremiumL0.80BUYChainlink LOSSmatched · filled 36.40 shares · Chainlink LOSS DOWN · PnL $-24.75
4 Oct 7:25pmCP30UPTier 3 · PremiumW0.80BUYorder failedBullpen command timed out after 30.0s: /home/ojserveradmin/.bullpen/bin/bullpen polymarket limit-buy btc-updown-5m-1791105900 UP --price 0.75 --shares 33 --expiration fak --yes ...
3 Oct 3:10amCP150DNTier 3 · PremiumW0.84SKIPnot orderedabove entry cutoff: DOWN ask 0.820 · spread 0.010 · ask+spread 0.830 > max entry 0.750 · ask 0.820 >= min floor 0.550 · spread 0.010 <= max spread 0.070
3 Oct 3:10amCP130DNTier 2 · MaxW0.80SKIPnot orderedabove entry cutoff: DOWN ask 0.920 · spread 0.010 · ask+spread 0.930 > max entry 0.750 · ask 0.920 >= min floor 0.550 · spread 0.010 <= max spread 0.070
3 Oct 3:10amCP30DNTier 2 · MaxW0.72BUYChainlink WINmatched · filled 44.20 shares · Chainlink WIN DOWN · PnL $19.45
2 Oct 5:05pmCP130UPTier 2 · MaxW0.84BUYChainlink WINmatched · filled 42.67 shares · Chainlink WIN UP · PnL $17.92
1 Oct 1:35amCP240UPTier 2 · MaxW0.72SKIPnot orderedabove entry cutoff: UP ask 0.980 · spread 0.010 · ask+spread 0.990 > max entry 0.750 · ask 0.980 >= min floor 0.550 · spread 0.010 <= max spread 0.070
1 Oct 1:35amCP150UPTier 3 · PremiumW0.80BUYbuy decisionbelow entry floor: UP ask 0.460 · spread 0.010 · ask+spread 0.470 <= max entry 0.750 · ask 0.460 < min floor 0.550 · spread 0.010 <= max spread 0.070
1 Oct 1:35amCP130UPTier 3 · PremiumW0.80SKIPnot orderedreversal blocked: market bias DOWN (UP ask 0.320, DOWN ask 0.690); signal UP · UP ask 0.320 · spread 0.010 · ask+spread 0.330 <= max entry 0.750 · ask 0.320 < min floor 0.550 · spread 0.010 <= max spread 0.070
1 Oct 1:35amCP60UPTier 3 · PremiumW0.88BUYbuy decisionbelow entry floor: UP ask 0.430 · spread 0.010 · ask+spread 0.440 <= max entry 0.750 · ask 0.430 < min floor 0.550 · spread 0.010 <= max spread 0.070
1 Oct 1:35amCP30UPTier 3 · PremiumW0.76BUYbuy decisionBUY UP: risk checks approved; projected exposure 49.75 within limit 52.00. · UP ask 0.510 · spread 0.010 · ask+spread 0.520 <= max entry 0.750 · ask 0.510 >= min floor 0.450 · spread 0.010 <= max spread 0.070
1 Oct 1:35amCP10UPTier 3 · PremiumW0.80BUYChainlink WINmatched · filled 51.81 shares · Chainlink WIN UP · PnL $27.06
30 Sep 8:15amCP130UPTier 3 · PremiumL0.80SKIPnot orderedreversal blocked: market bias DOWN (UP ask 0.020, DOWN ask 0.990); signal UP · UP ask 0.020 · spread 0.010 · ask+spread 0.030 <= max entry 0.750 · ask 0.020 < min floor 0.550 · spread 0.010 <= max spread 0.070
28 Sep 4:25pmCP150UPTier 3 · PremiumL0.88SKIPnot orderedbelow entry floor: UP ask 0.190 · spread 0.090 · ask+spread 0.280 <= max entry 0.750 · ask 0.190 < min floor 0.550 · spread 0.090 > max spread 0.070
28 Sep 4:15pmCP130UPTier 2 · MaxL0.96SKIPnot orderedreversal blocked: market bias DOWN (UP ask 0.390, DOWN ask 0.620); signal UP · UP ask 0.390 · spread 0.010 · ask+spread 0.400 <= max entry 0.750 · ask 0.390 < min floor 0.550 · spread 0.010 <= max spread 0.070
27 Sep 5:00pmCP240DNTier 3 · PremiumL0.96SKIPnot orderedreversal blocked: market bias UP (UP ask 1.000, DOWN ask 0.010); signal DOWN · DOWN ask 0.010 · spread 0.010 · ask+spread 0.020 <= max entry 0.750 · ask 0.010 < min floor 0.550 · spread 0.010 <= max spread 0.070
27 Sep 5:00pmCP150DNTier 3 · PremiumL1.00SKIPnot orderedreversal blocked: market bias UP (UP ask 0.890, DOWN ask 0.120); signal DOWN · DOWN ask 0.120 · spread 0.010 · ask+spread 0.130 <= max entry 0.750 · ask 0.120 < min floor 0.550 · spread 0.010 <= max spread 0.070
27 Sep 5:00pmCP60DNTier 3 · PremiumL0.96SKIPnot orderedreversal blocked: market bias UP (UP ask 0.620, DOWN ask 0.390); signal DOWN · DOWN ask 0.390 · spread 0.010 · ask+spread 0.400 <= max entry 0.750 · ask 0.390 < min floor 0.550 · spread 0.010 <= max spread 0.070
27 Sep 5:00pmCP30DNTier 3 · PremiumL0.96BUYbuy decisionBUY DOWN: risk checks approved; projected exposure 49.75 within limit 52.00. · DOWN ask 0.720 · spread 0.010 · ask+spread 0.730 <= max entry 0.750 · ask 0.720 >= min floor 0.450 · spread 0.010 <= max spread 0.070
27 Sep 5:00pmCP10DNTier 3 · PremiumL1.00BUYChainlink LOSSmatched · filled 34.38 shares · Chainlink LOSS UP · PnL $-24.75
26 Sep 10:15amCP240DNTier 3 · PremiumW0.80SKIPnot orderedabove entry cutoff: DOWN ask 1.000 · spread 0.010 · ask+spread 1.010 > max entry 0.750 · ask 1.000 >= min floor 0.550 · spread 0.010 <= max spread 0.070
26 Sep 10:00amCP240DNTier 3 · PremiumW0.76SKIPnot orderedabove entry cutoff: DOWN ask 1.000 · spread 0.010 · ask+spread 1.010 > max entry 0.750 · ask 1.000 >= min floor 0.550 · spread 0.010 <= max spread 0.070
25 Sep 11:20amCP240DNTier 3 · PremiumW0.84SKIPnot orderedabove entry cutoff: DOWN ask 1.000 · spread 0.010 · ask+spread 1.010 > max entry 0.750 · ask 1.000 >= min floor 0.550 · spread 0.010 <= max spread 0.070
24 Sep 9:40pmCP150DNTier 2 · MaxW0.84BUYnot placedfresh DOWN ask 0.510 is below min entry 0.550 for CP150 · fresh DOWN ask 0.510 · ask < min entry 0.550 for CP150 · ask <= max entry 0.750 · opposite ask 0.500 · market bias DOWN
23 Sep 5:05pmCP240DNTier 3 · PremiumW0.88SKIPnot orderedabove entry cutoff: DOWN ask 0.990 · spread 0.010 · ask+spread 1.000 > max entry 0.750 · ask 0.990 >= min floor 0.550 · spread 0.010 <= max spread 0.070
23 Sep 5:05pmCP150DNTier 3 · PremiumW0.88SKIPnot orderedabove entry cutoff: DOWN ask 0.970 · spread 0.010 · ask+spread 0.980 > max entry 0.750 · ask 0.970 >= min floor 0.550 · spread 0.010 <= max spread 0.070
23 Sep 5:05pmCP130DNTier 3 · PremiumW0.88SKIPnot orderedabove entry cutoff: DOWN ask 0.980 · spread 0.010 · ask+spread 0.990 > max entry 0.750 · ask 0.980 >= min floor 0.550 · spread 0.010 <= max spread 0.070
23 Sep 5:05pmCP60DNTier 3 · PremiumW0.96SKIPnot orderedabove entry cutoff: DOWN ask 0.910 · spread 0.010 · ask+spread 0.920 > max entry 0.750 · ask 0.910 >= min floor 0.550 · spread 0.010 <= max spread 0.070
23 Sep 5:05pmCP30DNTier 3 · PremiumW0.96SKIPnot orderedabove entry cutoff: DOWN ask 0.770 · spread 0.010 · ask+spread 0.780 > max entry 0.750 · ask 0.770 >= min floor 0.450 · spread 0.010 <= max spread 0.070

Swipe / scroll right to see order placement reason.

Prediction Order History

Total PnL$-76.15
Closed Outcomes21
Wins / Losses13 / 8
FilledResolvedSideTierEntrySizeW/LPnL
4 Oct 7:30pm4 Oct 7:35pmUPTier 3 · Premium0.68036.40LOSS$-24.75
3 Oct 3:10am3 Oct 3:15amDNTier 2 · Max0.56044.20WIN$19.45
2 Oct 5:07pm2 Oct 5:10pmUPTier 2 · Max0.58042.67WIN$17.92
1 Oct 1:35am1 Oct 1:40amUPTier 3 · Premium0.47851.81WIN$27.06
27 Sep 5:00pm27 Sep 5:05pmDNTier 3 · Premium0.72034.38LOSS$-24.75
19 Sep 7:36pm19 Sep 7:40pmDNTier 2 · Max0.70035.36LOSS$-24.75
16 Sep 1:30am16 Sep 1:35amUPTier 3 · Premium0.370101.35LOSS$-37.50
13 Sep 8:37pm13 Sep 8:40pmUPTier 3 · Premium0.51572.76LOSS$-37.50
12 Sep 5:47pm12 Sep 5:50pmDNTier 2 · Max0.66056.82WIN$19.32
4 Sep 7:32pm4 Sep 7:35pmDNTier 2 · Max0.42089.29LOSS$-37.50
27 Aug 10:40pm27 Aug 10:45pmDNTier 3 · Premium0.56366.57WIN$29.06
27 Aug 8:31pm27 Aug 8:35pmDNTier 3 · Premium0.68055.15WIN$17.65
24 Aug 11:50pm24 Aug 11:55pmDNTier 3 · Premium0.41091.46WIN$53.96
22 Aug 7:25pm22 Aug 7:30pmDNTier 2 · Max0.63059.52WIN$22.02
19 Aug 11:57pm20 Aug 12:00amUPTier 2 · Max0.72052.08WIN$14.58
15 Aug 3:25pm15 Aug 3:30pmDNTier 2 · Max0.71052.82WIN$15.32
9 Aug 2:05pm9 Aug 2:10pmUPTier 3 · Premium0.54069.44WIN$31.94
30 Jul 10:00am30 Jul 10:05amUPTier 2 · Max0.62060.48WIN$22.98
29 Jul 11:37am29 Jul 11:40amDNTier 2 · Max0.540138.89LOSS$-75.00
28 Jul 10:15am28 Jul 10:20amDNTier 3 · Premium0.406276.78LOSS$-112.51
28 Jul 5:50am28 Jul 5:55amDNTier 2 · Max0.74026.35WIN$6.85

Strategy Performance

Wallet Balance—
Strategy PnL$-167.26
Win Rate59.7%
Profit Factor0.83
Max DD $$414.09
Max DD %291.0%

Closed trades: 72 · W 43 / L 29

Growth History

$-305$-209$-113$-17$79$175Start 6 JunEnd 4 OctCumulative realized P/L

Bot Settings Reference

Sourcerun_005_base512_temperature_test
CheckpointsCP1 excluded: CP10, CP30, CP60, CP130, CP150, CP240
Signal filtersMove top 10% · Range top 10% · Lookback 30m · Strength ≥ 0.75
ADX / ATR baseADX ≥ 30 · ATR OFF
VWAP baseON · 60m causal · side-only · band 0.0
Sizingtier_fixed · wallet/fallback — · —
Executionmax order $25.00 · +$2.00 whole-token soft allowance · FAK limit-buy
Polymarket guardsprice+spread ≤ 0.75 · spread ≤ 0.07 · no reversals ON · one per market 1
Risk capsopen $52.00 · session $75.00 · daily $75.00
RuntimePID 997 · lag 0 rows · manual arming ON

Priority tiers

PremiumMove top 5%Range top 5%ATR OFFADX ≥ 32.5Strength ≥ 0.75VWAP side-onlySize 10%–30%Variant: 015 Base VWAP ADX 32.5 RSI dyn 5/5 · Dynamic move top: 5% · Dynamic range top: 5% · ATR: off · ADX: on, min 32.5 · Kronos strength floor: >= 0.75 · VWAP: 1h causal side-only · UP only if price is above VWAP · DOWN only if price is below VWAP · no distance band · RSI: UP < 65, DOWN > 35 · Sizing: sliding 10%–30% of available balance
MaxMove top 7.5%Range top 7.5%ATR OFFADX ≥ 32.5Strength OFFVWAP side-onlySize 5%–15%Variant: 022 Base VWAP ADX 32.5 RSI dyn 7.5/7.5 no strength · Dynamic move top: 7.5% · Dynamic range top: 7.5% · ATR: off · ADX: on, min 32.5 · Kronos strength floor: OFF · VWAP: 1h causal side-only · UP only if price is above VWAP · DOWN only if price is below VWAP · no distance band · RSI: UP < 65, DOWN > 35 · Sizing: sliding 5%–15% of available balance
Manual refresh only · Brisbane time · read-only dashboard view